For the third straight time, Peter Obi, candidate of the Labour Party has been predicted as winner of the forthcoming presidential election.
Nigerians are preparing for the presidential election which is scheduled for February 25, only nine days from now.
According to the poll commissioned by Anap Foundation and conducted by NOI polls Limited (NOIPolls), this is “the third Poll in the series was concluded in the first half of February 2023 and follows two earlier polls carried out (using the exact same methodology) in September and December 2022.
We believe our baseline Presidential Poll published on September 15, 2022 was the first well-publicised national poll released in connection with the 2023 Presidential elections, which was followed by a Bloomberg poll published on September 28, 2022.”
The foundation said it is pertinent to mention that the methodology used by NOIPolls is almost the exact same methodology that was used in previous presidential polls that they handled for us in 2011, 2015 and 2019.
“In all those past presidential polls, the front-runner that was identified by our polls ended up winning the elections, irrespective of a rather large percentage of voters who were undecided and/or refused to indicate who their preferred candidate was.
We have also applied the exact same methodology in our various Governorship Polls carried out in 2011, 2014, 2015, 2019 and 2022 and the methodology generally held up well.
We are of course aware of some significant differences between the 2023 Presidential race and those of prior years e.g. 1) A longer Campaign season: 2) the presence of 4 major candidates instead of 2; and 3) greater voter enthusiasm,” the poll report signed by Atedo Peterside, president and founder of the foundation.
“In December 2022, we took the extra step to expand the methodology in our 2nd Presidential Poll in this series by carrying out 3 different polls using sample sizes of 1,000, 2,000 and 3,000 and confirmed that (as expected) the results did not change significantly.